Monday, February 11, 2013

Another Freeze Coming Our Way?

February has been a month of highs and lows, dry days and wet days, but that's OK. Despite spring training beginning for Major League Baseball, we still need to understand that in this part of the country we are in a transition stage from Winter to Spring. With transitions, anything goes, cold freezing weather as well as warm spells too.

Recently, a push of warm humid air oozed into the Brazos Valley, allowing flowers to bloom and even the eerie comeback of mosquitoes as well as other insects. Furthermore, the spring-like air mass has been quite efficient, generating rounds of rain and even a bout of severe weather this past weekend. Unfortunately, parts of the southeast were ripped apart by major storms producing intense tornadoes.

Yet, we need to keep our guard up, not so much for severe weather, but reintroducing colder, wintertime temperatures. Extended forecast models indicate that a series of cold fronts will move though Texas over the next two weeks. Most will be fairly weak, but a few will pack a punch.

One such front will pivot though tomorrow morning with a round of showers, some could be heavy at times. Behind this one, overnight lows will settle into the upper 30s, while highs zoom up to the low 60s.

By the weekend, a stronger front arrives. This one will be a game changer, not with precipitation, but a huge swing with temperatures. To the left, the jet stream winds are depicted for Sunday morning. Notice how the shape of the jet stream is oriented in a north to south pattern. This allows much colder air from the north to plow though and cool us down in a hurry. We may not notice many changes during the afternoon, but due to the depth of this cold air, a widespread freeze is possible with temperatures in the upper 20s and lower 30s Sunday morning. Therefore, it may be a good idea to delay your gardening plans for another weekend. Additionally, this may not be the final freeze of the season as more could come, but this is the next one in the forseeable future.

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