Thursday, July 5, 2012

Pattern Change Means More Rain For Us

Typically this time of the year, especially in Texas, the weather tends to stay similar for prolonged periods of time. For example, last week introduced extreme heat, this week entails high humidity with several showers, but now everything is going to be mixed up come the weekend.


The "Brick Oven" if you will, or the upper level high pressure system that baked many parts of the central U.S. is finally going to make a move. Good news, because parts of Kansas reached 118°, and that's not the Heat Index, that was the actual air temperature IN THE SHADE! Nonetheless, this high that has blocked incoming cold fronts from sliding down the Rockies will take a journey to the western side of our fair country. What this means is that the western parts of the U.S. will begin to heat up, see plenty of sun and calm weather.

For us in the Brazos Valley and the rest of the U.S., the jet stream that has been cooped up in Canada can now relax and open up the doors for cooler air for the east coast. Not only will the east side of Canada bring relief to the sizzling east coast, but cold fronts can finally move into the Southeast and even into Texas.



As the core of heat slides west bound, the upper level flow will favor an abundance of moisture coming from the Gulf and moving into southeast Texas as well as the Brazos Valley. Furthermore, models are hinting that a cold front will move in from the north and stall early next week.

Along stalled fronts, many thunderstorms generate each afternoon with bouts of extremely heavy rainfall. And yes, this front will be close enough that we will see several days of strong afternoon thunderstorms to help soak the drought stricken vegetation.

I cannot exactly pinpoint where and when the storms will form this far out, but what I can tell you is that the best chance for wet weather will be from Monday to Wednesday.

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