Monday, March 12, 2012

From A Wet Streak To A Consistent Pattern

A huge wall of water poured on the Brazos Valley this past weekend just adding to the rain tally and subtracting our drought. Taking a look at this year and comparing it to 2011, its like day and night. From a year that was so tough to see any precipitation to one where we now expect huge rain storms. Additionally, when you think about the storms we have had this year, most of them come in a concentrated period of time. Furthermore, each storm dumps several inches of rain at a time.

There are two angles you can take with the storms of 2012. 1) More rain = we pull our of the drought faster. 2) So much rain at once = more flooding. Either way, we need rain and we still need more. However, the best way to pull out of a drought is in moderation.

Nonetheless, the numbers this year are impressive. So far to date, Eaterwood Airport officially picked up 16.07" (we had 19.97" all of last year) of rain since January 1st. This time last year, Easterwood only had 4.09". Also, for the month of March College Station received 4.01" so far. In March 2011, College Station reported only 0.61".

Brenham so far is having its third wettest start to a year with 13.43". 1932 was the wettest start to a year in Brenham with 17.88".

Now, we are going to switch from a streaky pattern to one that is more consistent. As our latest storm departs, a burly body of high pressure will sit over the western Atlantic Ocean and drive our weather this week and into the weekend.


Air flows clockwise around high pressure and with the position of the high, Canadian air will not affect us. Therefore, we will remain above average for the time being. Additionally, notice how the air will be coming from the southeast for us.


Air at the surface will have added juice from the Gulf of Mexico keeping it a bit muggy. Additionally, energy from the sun in combination with warm air will aid in the development of a few pop up thunderstorms in the afternoon. We will not see any washouts, but several areas will see a little bit of rain this week. Also, due to the extra moisture in play, fog will develop each morning. Its a consistent pattern, but make sure to keep the umbrella in the back of the car just in case.

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