Severe Threat Not Over Yet, More Overnight

Thunderstorms that splashed the Brazos Valley this morning was just a taste of whats to come overnight. As much as 2.0" of rain was reported around Snook earlier today. Additionally, I had one comment form a viewer who was eating at Jose's Mexican Restaurant and noticed the hail falling outside. They told me that it looked like snow because it covered the ground and built up on her car. Here is an image that was emailed to me this afternoon that really illustrates what we saw.

Yup, you can literally scoop up the hail and put it in your freezer for safe keeping. Most hail today was on a line from Millican to East Bryan, and into Kurten. However, our severe weather threat is far from over.

Low pressure that is developing to our south has a warm and cold front extending from its center.

This afternoon we had what was called an "overrunning" event. We are ahead of the warm front where air at the surface was relatively cooler then the air behind the front. Therefore, the warm air from the south rode up and over the colder air at the surface. This created lift and formed precipitation. Typically "overruning" events are fairly light. On the other hand, the upper levels were unstable and storms broke out. In meteorological terms, "elevated convection" was the culprit.

What we will see overnight and into tomorrow morning is this warm front passing though the Brazos Valley and we will be in the "warm sector," which is the area between the warm and cold front.

One of the reasons why we point out this area is due to copious amounts of instability which helps to crop up thunderstorms. Additionally, winds in this area are turning in many different directions from the surface to the upper levels. In other words, the air is "twisting" at different altitudes. Therefore, storms that generate have the possibility of rotating which can lead to long lived cells and even tornadoes.

From the computer information I gathered, there are a lot of the elements there for rotating storms overnight. Question that needs to be answered is, how many of these will produce tornadoes? That will be a hard one to answer until the storms actually form. Severe weather is a waiting game and something that needs to be monitored closely.

Overall, you need to know that more storms will form overnight and tomorrow morning. Some of them will be severe and an isolated tornado is not out of the question. Also, heavy rain could produce flash flooding in some locations. The time frame between midnight tonight and 12pm tomorrow will be watched with a close eye.

I will be here to monitor the situation on-air with KAGS-HD on channel 6, 23.1, and 730. Furthermore, there will be updates on facebook: www.facebook.com/KAGSweather as well as twitter: @KAGSweather.

Please submit any reports you have. Thank you and have a great evening.