Monday, September 16, 2013

Ingrid Made Landfall & A Taste of Autumn May Fall

After talking about Ingrid and its origins for a week or so, the storm finally made landfall in Mexico, about 200 miles due south of Brownsville. The unfortunate side of this story is that despite Ingrid's significant weakening, its a very slow moving system. With storms from tropical origins, rain can come down very hard in short periods of time. Flash flooding and even landslides have posed a multitude of problems south of the boarder with this phenomenon.



Rains from Ingrid are reaching areas from south Texas to San Antonio, and even the Brazos Valley might see a few light showers over the coming days from this system, but not coming with the violence of flooding. Over the next couple of days, parts of northeast Mexico may pick up an additional 5"+ of rainfall, while isolated locations in deep south Texas could collect 2-3" of much needed precipitation.

 
Most of this action is south of us, but make sure to keep the umbrellas ready, just in case a little dribble of rain falls from the sky early this week.
 
On another note, the latest computer models are gelling together something very nice towards the end of the week and into the weekend. The potential exists for our first complete cold front in a long time. This means rainfall ahead of the front, with some cooler, and less humid air behind it, just in time for the final days of summer.
 
Below is a prog from the GFS computer model illustrating a possible cold front passage by Friday evening along with a line of thunderstorms.
 
 
It not just this model, but other models that hint at this type of weather at the end of the week. Changes in the timing of this front can happen, and I will keep you in the loop. Nonetheless, behind the front, its going to feel sooooooo much better with a reduction in heat, and a major reduction in the humidity levels.
 
FYI....Summers final day is Saturday, as the Autumnal Equinox occurs at 3:44PM Sunday afternoon. 
  
 
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