The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, Oklahoma slapped on a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow for the southern third of our viewing area. From southern Brazos, Grimes, Washington County and points south there is a possibility of experiencing thunderstorms with strong straight line winds, frequent lightning and large hail Friday afternoon.
From what I can see, the threat for tornadoes will be minimal. There will be very weak shear (or change in wind speed and direction with height), therefore I will not be too concerned with twisters tomorrow.
A cold front that is hanging to our northwest at the moment will swing in tomorrow, but we do not have to worry about any rain until Friday afternoon. What you will notice tonight will be the busy wind from the southeast, increased humidity levels and clouds filling the sky overnight.
As opposed to the past few gorgeous days, clouds will win out and the sun will not be seen too often tomorrow. Expect several rain showers to crop up by 1pm tomorrow. Between 2pm and 6pm, the front will be close enough to kick start stronger thunderstorms which includes pockets of downpours.
The only question that remains with the passage of this front is exact timing when it comes though the Brazos Valley, and when the initial storms flare up. If this front comes in sooner, our chance for strong storms will be minimal. However, if this front delays by an hour or two, then the entire viewing area will experience heavy thunderstorms. At the moment, the strongest activity should be closer to the Gulf Coast.
Overall rain accumulations will be generally between 0.20" and 0.50" with a few isolated areas up to 1.00".
Nonetheless, once the front moves by, the wind will kick up from the northwest around 20 to 30 mph for a time tomorrow with cooler air shuttling in.
To recap, storms will be here tomorrow afternoon. Best chance for severe weather will be to our south and east. Some storms can produce strong winds, hail and very heavy rain. As far as tornadoes, there will be a minimal risk. By the weekend, the clouds and precipitation are out of here.
To best protect yourself, your property and family, make sure to stay informed with the weather. You can keep up to date with KAGS: on air, online at www.facebook.com/KAGSweather, or on twitter @KAGSweather, or you can pick up a NOAA Weather Radio at participating HEB's in the Brazos Valley.
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