Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Weekend Storms On The Horizon

What a beautiful week so far here in the Brazos Valley. Cool mornings turn into pleasant, sunny afternoons. Also, temperatures have been great. Highs have topped off in the 60s to near 70°. However, changes will begin slowly. Warm air will stick around, but the wind will pick up, also, you will notice more cloud cover Thursday.

This is all ahead of a storm that is developing over southern California at this time.


This storm is tame, but once it crosses the Rockies, not only will this be trouble for weekend travel in Texas, but a large portion of the Plains and the Mid-West. By Friday and Saturday, the center of low pressure will begin to push into New Mexico and eventually Texas. Additionally, several atmospheric ingredients will aid in more rapid intensification.


At the surface, a rich pull of moisture off the Gulf of Mexico will help to produce a broad swath of precipitation from Texas all the way to Chicago. Furthermore, a strong Jet Stream aloft will enhance lifting, allowing for heavy pockets of precipitation. Also, the jet stream will increase the risk for strong and potentially severe thunderstorms from central Texas to Tennessee. On the back side of this storm is much colder air and any precipitation that falls will be in the form of snow, sleet and freezing rain.

Here in the Brazos Valley, any precipitation will be in the liquid form as temperatures should be in the middle 70s. As far as timing, expect several light showers Friday evening along with a gusty south wind blowing in excess of 20mph at times. Saturday morning will be cloudy with an isolated shower. By Saturday afternoon and especially in the evening, thunderstorms will move in from the west and wash us out. Its still yet to be determined if these storms will be severe here, but the threat is possible. Nonetheless, expect a periods of heavy rain, gusty winds, and frequent lightning Saturday night.



While we experience the tail end of the storms, areas to our north could pick up a copious amount of precipitation.



The storm moves out Sunday morning, while the wind continues to howl, this time from the northwest. In turn, will make it much colder.

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

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