Tropics Will Help Bring Some Needed Rain

Before moving down to Bryan/College Station, I worked in Bangor, Maine for a couple of years and remembered how long it took to get out of winter. For about 6 months out of the year, temperatures dipped below freezing and snow would fall, piling up on the sides of the road until it melted during the Spring. During this time, it was too cold to go outside for an extended period. We would take large blankets, wrap them around for warmth on the couch and crank up the heater. Sure it was fun to play in the snow, but when it came to shoveling, it was hard labor. The point here is that sometimes the weather can ware on us, especially if extreme conditions are the norm.

Here in Texas, we don't turn into icicles, but rather bake under a strong sun that can heat temperatures for months on end above 100°. No blankets needed here, just an ice cold lemonade or the air conditioner.

Recently, the heat has been a problem, and at times dangerous. Actual temperatures have hit 104°, with the Heat Index Value rising close to 110°. Its tough to be out in that type of weather, especially since this part of Texas needs some much needed rain. All we are hoping for is a change. Well then, a change is what we will receive.

As of this afternoon, an upper level low, rotating around the Bahamas is making a track towards the west.

On the satellite image above, this looks unimpressive, just a bunch of clouds with little organization. True, but there is enough "lift" and energy from this low that once it reaches the western edges of the Gulf of Mexico, rain will begin to spread into the Texas Coast and the Brazos Valley.

New computer guidance suggests that if we were to experience any rain, the best chance will come on Saturday, during the afternoon.

From there, this upper level low will move over north Mexico and take the energy with it and leave a few more lingering showers for Sunday.

Overall, this is the only chance at a change in our weather, as the long term models indicate another long stretch of blazing heat will begin again in the middle of next week. Any rain we get is good rain, but we need to break this heat. I will make sure to keep an eye on the weather for you and thank you for reading.

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