Monday, April 1, 2013

Much Needed Rain For Everyone

Its no joke that everywhere in Texas is thirsty for a large gulp of rainfall. In fact, make that a super large gulp, with no limits on refills. The drought stricken Lone Star State will in fact get what it needs.

Several storms cropped up yesterday, with the bulk of the activity around Houston, San Antonio and deep south Texas. Most storms produced frequent lightning, strong wind, and widespread hail on Easter Sunday. In fact, damaging baseball sized hail fell in Freer, TX which is in Duval County. I don't expect hail that large around here, but severe weather could greet us.

Here is the set up:


Two areas of low pressure will team up to produce widespread heavy rain and thunderstorms for the Brazos Valley. The low-pressure center over Utah is an upper level low, where the other in eastern New Mexico is at the surface. Additionally, the above map indicates a stationary front cutting across north central Texas. Its this stationary front that will act as the path for the surface low over New Mexico. Additionally, a south to southeast wind will help draw in copious amounts of moisture off the Gulf of Mexico, to prime our already loaded atmosphere.

By Tuesday night and towards Wednesday morning, the upper low will move to Oklahoma and Kansas, where the surface low will position itself just west of the Brazos Valley.


Early Wednesday morning, rain will blossom from central Texas to the Gulf coast. Additionally, embedded severe thunderstorms are possible due to several dynamic forces. Primary threats Wednesday morning include: Frequent lightning, blinding rainfall, hail, and even the small threat of an isolated tornado. As the newer models come in tonight and tomorrow, I will have a clearer picture of the timing and threats. Nonetheless, keep the umbrellas close by, as this is going to be a nice event to see. Maybe not the severe weather, but rain is quite welcome.

By the time all is said and done, we could possibly pick up 1" to as much as 3" of rain in isolated locations.

 
KAGS-HD Weather will keep a close eye on this event and keep you in the loop.
 
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