Monday, June 4, 2012

SLOW Moving Storm = Lots of Rain Chances Here

Finally, something we have been waiting for here in the heart of the Brazos Valley.....a slow moving weather system that could bring us wet weather during a several day stretch. Typically, when we settle into the summer type pattern storms form and dump precipitation well north of us while we sit in the heat and humidity.

However, hope has arrived and the center of this slow moving storm is in northwest Texas.


The center of low pressure you see in the above image is a disturbance in the mid-levels and riding along a very slow moving front that will eventually move closer to our neck of the woods. At the moment, we are sitting in the heat and humidity as moisture continues to get pumped off the Gulf of Mexico.

Due to weak winds in the mid-levels, this low and front will crawl at a snails pace to us. Therefore, Tuesday should be a dry day, but by Wednesday clouds will increase, we will see one or two isolated storms, but when this energy finally is close enough, rain chances will sky rocket.


At the moment, the best shot at seeing any rain here will come from a period between Thursday and Saturday. We should not see any day long washouts, but any storms that do crop up will have the ability to dump very heavy rain due to the abundance of moisture in the atmosphere. Additionally, these individual storms will move quite slow due to the weak winds in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Furthermore, I will keep my eye closely on the possibility of any thunderstorms becoming severe, but know this will not be a big outbreak. Mainly thunderstorms with very heavy rain with a couple generating severe characteristics.

Though the entire event will not be over until late Saturday...here is a sneak peek at what one of the computer models are putting out for total rain from Wednesday to Sunday.




Yes, the potential is there for several inches of rain, but each day needs to be mointored closely.

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