Monday, March 10, 2014

Forecast Update 3-10-14

Following some fog, mist, and even rain during the weekend, the sun came out to begin the work week. With high pressure overhead, Monday turned out to be a top notch weather day. However, there is an upper level disturbance over northern Mexico that will influence us tonight and early on Tuesday morning.
Several showers will try to make it into the Brazos Valley late tonight and continue into the early morning hours on Tuesday. At this time, the heaviest rain should hug the Texas coast, while we are clipped with several showers. It is possible that we could hear a rumble of thunder, but all storms that generate will be well below severe limits. 

Into Tuesday afternoon this batch of rain will move out to the east and the sun will begin to shine in limitation for the afternoon. At the same time, the wind will pick up ahead of a cold front that is scheduled to push though around Midnight Tuesday/Wednesday.
Behind the front, expect the clouds to move out, the wind to remain gusty, and colder air to travel down.

Tonight: Becoming cloudy, several showers late, a rumble of thunder is possible, light fog late. Low: 54°

Tuesday: A few showers in the early morning, then turning mostly cloudy, and breezy. High: 76°

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, turning windy overnight. Low: 48°
Wednesday: Sunny, windy, and cooler. High: 63°

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

COLDER AIR ARRIVES, TURNS WINDY, AND RAINY TOO.....

As I am writing this weather discussion, colder air is slowly crawling into the Brazos Valley, helping to set the stage for a pretty miserable day on Wednesday. However, on the bright side, we will pick up well needed rain.

Here is the set up. At the surface, Canadian high pressure will continue to move towards Texas, supplying us with the cold air. Also, while the high moves closer, the wind will pick up tonight and most of Wednesday before calming down Wednesday evening. In the upper levels, energy from the Rockies will slide down, helping to produce more cloud cover and rainfall. Additionally, a healthy supply of moisture off the Pacific Ocean will allow for widespread precipitation, which could be heavy at times.

Expect rain to pick up in coverage overnight and into Wednesday morning. Rain will last for most of the day on Wednesday along with temperatures that will hover in the middle to lower 40s. Yup, its going to be cold, windy, and soggy.




Overall, about 0.75" to 1.25" of rain will fall for most of the Brazos Valley. There will be a few spots that pick up less, and a few isolated locations that pick up a more than that. Make sure to have your wet weather gear ready.

Monday, February 24, 2014

Weather Update 2-24-14

What a beautiful weekend for all of us! The air was warm, there was sunshine, and a little bit of humidity too. Now as we transition to a new work week, the weather will become more active. This includes, more cloud cover, wind, much colder air, and rainfall too.

Tonight should remain tranquil with a cloud sky and a few areas of mist and light fog around. By Tuesday afternoon, the cloud cover persists, but several light isolates showers will crop up from time to time. By Tuesday night, the action begins as a cold front approaches.

Following the passage of the cold front late Tuesday night, much colder air will rush in on a gusty wind from the north. Additionally, energy coming off the Rockies will combine with energy off the Pacific Ocean and combine to develop widespread rain on Wednesday. Not only will there be rain on Wednesday, it will be windy, and temperatures will not even get out of the 40s! Yup, its going to be a tough weather day for all of us.

I will keep you well informed as new information comes into the weather center and as the weather changes.

Tonight: Cloudy with a few areas of mist and light fog. Low: 61°

Tuesday: Overcast with several isolated light showers, warm. High: 72°

Tuesday Night: Periods of light rain, turning windy, and colder. Low: 45°

Wednesday: Cold, rainy, and windy. High: 48°

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Weekend Storms On The Horizon

What a beautiful week so far here in the Brazos Valley. Cool mornings turn into pleasant, sunny afternoons. Also, temperatures have been great. Highs have topped off in the 60s to near 70°. However, changes will begin slowly. Warm air will stick around, but the wind will pick up, also, you will notice more cloud cover Thursday.

This is all ahead of a storm that is developing over southern California at this time.


This storm is tame, but once it crosses the Rockies, not only will this be trouble for weekend travel in Texas, but a large portion of the Plains and the Mid-West. By Friday and Saturday, the center of low pressure will begin to push into New Mexico and eventually Texas. Additionally, several atmospheric ingredients will aid in more rapid intensification.


At the surface, a rich pull of moisture off the Gulf of Mexico will help to produce a broad swath of precipitation from Texas all the way to Chicago. Furthermore, a strong Jet Stream aloft will enhance lifting, allowing for heavy pockets of precipitation. Also, the jet stream will increase the risk for strong and potentially severe thunderstorms from central Texas to Tennessee. On the back side of this storm is much colder air and any precipitation that falls will be in the form of snow, sleet and freezing rain.

Here in the Brazos Valley, any precipitation will be in the liquid form as temperatures should be in the middle 70s. As far as timing, expect several light showers Friday evening along with a gusty south wind blowing in excess of 20mph at times. Saturday morning will be cloudy with an isolated shower. By Saturday afternoon and especially in the evening, thunderstorms will move in from the west and wash us out. Its still yet to be determined if these storms will be severe here, but the threat is possible. Nonetheless, expect a periods of heavy rain, gusty winds, and frequent lightning Saturday night.



While we experience the tail end of the storms, areas to our north could pick up a copious amount of precipitation.



The storm moves out Sunday morning, while the wind continues to howl, this time from the northwest. In turn, will make it much colder.

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

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