Minor Activity In The Tropics

Typically the beginning of the Hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin is quite slow, but by August and September, things really begin to heat up. Below is a chart laying out the percentages (%) of the amount of storms that typically generate. The greater the percentage, the greater amount of storms in that given month.

Easy to see that June and July are relatively quite compared to August, September, and even October. This is because the water temperatures reaches its peak and upper level winds favor development and strengthening of tropical systems during this time.

Also, if you are curious, the list of Tropical Storm/Hurricane names begin with Arthur and end with Wilfred this year.

Aside from the typical tropical jargon and names, there is a disturbance that bares watching in the southern Gulf of Mexico and Bay of Campeche.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is going to monitor this swirl for further development. At this time, there is only a 20% chance that over the next 5 days, this area will turn into an organized tropical system. Its early in the season and the right ingredients are not in place for a major storm to take shape.

Even the computer models are confused on an exact forecast due to the ragged nature of this system and its disorganization.

Sure, one model brings this into Texas, but that will likely NOT happen. Nonetheless, I will watch this and other tropical cyclones that develop this season for you.

In the meantime, we can sit back and relax as our weather should be repetitive with warmth and tranquility.

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.

Huge Severe Weather Mess In Central Plains

Here in the Brazos Valley, severe weather season has come and gone without a scratch. This does not completely means that we will not see any severe weather during the summer or early Autumn, but looking at the records and seasonal trends, this part of Texas tends to quiet down. Also, when you encompass all of the events for our region, there have been several episodes of torrential rain, but other than that, nothing to really talk about around the water cooler. Now the shift in moment is for the central Plains and the Mid-West. 

In the upper levels, high pressure is building in and will shut down any chance of rain through the rest of the week and into the weekend.

This type of pattern mimics one of the "ring of fire" highs that we are familiar with during the heat of the summer. We call this the "ring of fire" because in the center of the ring, the weather remains tranquil, but around the "ring" is where the action takes place. Energy glides along the periphery of this "ring" and interacts with the difference in temperature that helps to generate thunderstorms, which can become severe. 

In the case of what happened this afternoon and evening, a multitude of severe thunderstorms unleashed their fury on parts of Wyoming, but especially in Nebraska and Iowa. Below is an image of Max Storm, Doppler Radar illustrating how ubiquitous the severe weather is.

  
As you guessed it, there are very nasty storms that created all modes of severe weather from large damaging hail, tornadoes, and extreme straight line winds.

Reports were plenty and consolidated along a couple of lines where storms gerated and traveled like a train on a train track.

As of 9PM CDT, there have been 11 reports of tornadoes. Know that there can be multiple reports for a single tornado. Its up to the National Weather Service to determine how many tornadoes actually touched down following the event as they survey the damage.

It's not just tornadoes, but incredible reports came out of Nebraska of hail and straight line winds too. In both Minatare and Kennard, Nebraska, softball size hail was reported. In addition, 100mph winds were estimated in Newport, Nebraska.

There is more ongoing at this time, and flooding will be the main issue across Iowa all night long.   

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.

Possible Record Low Tonight

High pressure stretching from western Canada to Texas is anchored in place allowing for the Brazos Valley to enjoy low humidity and below average temperatures. In fact, temperatures will be so far below average, that we will be challenging record lows overnight. Easterwood Airport's record low temperature for Thursday morning is 47°. We will come close to that mark. Therefore, jackets needed early Thursday morning.

By the afternoon a few clouds will move in and decorate the royal blue sky. Clouds will hang around on Friday too, before moving out for the weekend that is projected to be breezy and much warmer with temperatures back in the middle to upper 80s.

Tonight: Clear and chilly. Low: 47°

Thursday: A sunny start with a few afternoon clouds. High: 75°

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, not as chilly. Low: 53°


Friday: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy, warmer. High: 77°

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.

60 Years Later - 1954 F-2 College Station Tornado

Its honestly pretty tough because the Brazos Valley is on the southern tip of Tornado Alley, but twisters can rip through from time to time. According to tornadohistoryproject.com, since 1953, only 23 tornadoes have either formed or moved across parts of Brazos County.

The was one in particular that occurred back on April 30, 1954 that tore though College Station just to the east of Texas A&M and moved towards what would eventually be Highway 6.

Data: Tornadohistoryproject.com. This is a path of the F-2 tornado that hit College Station on April 30, 1954

Back in 1954, most of these roads were not constructed and a vast amount of the buildings we see today were not even in the works. From the information given, there were no fatalities or injuries with this tornado that was rated F-2 with winds possibly between 113-157mph. However, if you look a the path closely, it would have done significant damage to many shops that currently sit along University Dr, especially the Hilton Hotel. Also, many homes would have suffered significant damage as well if a twister with the same path and strength hit in today's BCS. 

Interesting to look back at history and compare it to the modern day. Luckily, no severe weather is in the forecast over the next 7-10 days.  

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.