Hot Weekend Coming Up!

November in Texas is like a seesaw, temperatures go up, and then they go down....then they go up again. This typically happens during the Autumn season as the cold air is building to our north, and the heat from the summer slowly drifts away. However, this past week was a ride.

We began the week, literally freezing, but now the air has moderated to pleasant levels. Yet, a strong south wind is developing and going to help increase the humidity, and really elevate the temperatures. In fact, we might get close to a record high temperature on Sunday.

During this time, several areas of disturbed weather will rotate in, generating a few light showers from time to time. Any rain will not washout any plans, but could wet the garden just a bit. Furthermore, this south wind that develops, will have gusts that will be on the order of 25-30mph at times both Saturday and Sunday.  Plus, dew point levels will touch 70°....yeah it will be humid too.

No need to worry, because a cold front will come into the Brazos Valley by Monday, taking temperatures back closer to seasonal averages.

Note: Long term models are indicating that there could be another blast of very cold air beginning next weekend (November 23-24)

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.

Great Weekend Ahead......Then A Polar Plunge

It was a wonderful way to end the work week, a textbook Autumn day. Cool and crisp air, along with a milky white glaze in the sky, courtesy of high level clouds. These clouds will remain with us for the first half of the weekend, and even though it might look like its going to rain, the atmosphere is fairly dry, that any falling precipitation should dry up before it comes in contact with the ground.

Overall, tailgating for Saturday's final home game at Kyle Field should be great. It is upsetting to see the Aggies take Kyle Field for the final time in its current state before construction begins following the match against Mississippi State. However, by 2015, Kyle Field will be filled with even more fans that will make it even louder.

Clouds will begin to thin out Saturday night and give way to some sunshine for the second half of the weekend and Veterans Day too.

By the middle of next week, a huge swing in the temperatures are in the offing.

Very cold air building in Canada is poised to move into our direction. In fact, most areas east of the Rockies will feel some of the coldest air of the season.

Due to a highly amplified trough in the upper levels, all of this cold air will freely move south. At the moment, a cold front will pass through the Brazos Valley early Tuesday morning, kicking up a strong north wind and taking any mild air away.

Additionally, as high pressure crests over the southern Plains on Tuesday and Wednesday night, temperatures should fall into the 30s! This means we need to be on garden alert because there could be several areas near freezing temperatures. Our first frost or freeze could be coming soon. Stay tuned, and I will keep you in the loop.


"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.

Super Typhoon Haiyan.....Could Be Strongest Ever!

 

You don't have to be a meteorologist to know that the above image illustrates a very strong storm that will cause catastrophic devastation. Super Typhoon Haiyan, shown above could go down as the strongest and most destructive tropical cyclone on record. It's cloud mass covers over 2/3 of the entire country of the Philippines, winds are sustained around 195mph (equivalent to an EF-4 tornado), with gusts of 235mph (equivalent to an EF-5 tornado) at its core. Haiyan's movement is due west at a quick clip which would lead to a small window of time to weaken. Additionally, the latest report noted, based on satellite feeds, that the center of Haiyan had a minimal central pressure of 858mb (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2013/tdata/wpac/31W.html), which would put this storm as the strongest on record.

At the moment, Haiyan could weaken before landfall with sustained winds of 150mph, however, this storm is moving so fast, that the communities in the path of Haiyan may still experience its full extreme impact.

To view Haiyans final visible image in motion click here.

Besides Haiyan, the other famous storm to make headlines in the western Pacific was Super Typhoon Tip, back in 1979.

At it's peak, Tip had a minimal central pressure of 870mb (which is the lowest official reading on record, before Haiyan could move into the top spot), winds sustained at 190mph, with a width of 1,380miles. Eventually, Tip made landfall over the southern regions of Japan.

Closer the the United States, don't forget about Hurricane Camille in 1969. This storm made landfall along the Gulf coast with sustained winds of 190mph.

Extreme weather happens all the time, but Haiyan may top the charts as the strongest storm on record.

"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.

A Haunting Forecast Before Halloween With Buckets of Rain

For a state that has been desperate for rainfall, we have seen our fair share over the past 6 weeks. From the official reports at Easterwood Airport in College Station, 5.19" of rain fell in September, where an impressive 7.10" accumulated so far this month, with a whole lot more to come. From the latest forecast, its possible that Easterwood could end the month of October with nearly 10" of total rainfall. Last time 10" of rain was recorded in a month at Easterwood Airport, was in October of 2006, 12.89" accumulated. 

What we have going on are several meteorological dynamics coming together, namely moisture, and a lifting mechanism to generate all of these potential rain makers. First of all, the atmosphere has been loading up with moisture from a couple of sources over the past couple of days. At the surface, moisture is being drawn from the rich Gulf of Mexico, while the upper levels are being enhanced from Tropical Storm Raymond in the Pacific Ocean.

When the powerful low over the Rockies glides into the Plains, it will tap into all of this moisture, rapidly strengthen and begin a string of heavy rain and even severe weather. For the Brazos Valley, our main concern will be possible flooding because when it rains, it will come down at a fast clip in a short period of time. Plus, with a fairly saturated ground, any storms that produce strong wind gusts can easily bring down large trees and power lines.

Below is a timescale of how this whole event will unfold with our computer simulations.

Your commute on Wednesday morning should be dry. By lunchtime, several showers will pass by from time to time. Rain becomes more widespread with embedded thunderstorms by Wednesday evening. Overnight and into early Thursday morning, a cold front will edge closer bringing the knock out hit with very heavy rain and even the potential for severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts over 60mph at times.

Wet weather should begin to move out by the early afternoon and trick or treating weather at this time looks fine. If changes do happen with this forecast, I will keep you in the loop. Nonetheless, the entire Brazos Valley will get soaked.

Overall, a general 2"-3" of rain will fall over most of the area with several isolated pockets picking up 4"-5". Due to all of this rain, make sure to stay in the know with the weather if there are any Flood Advisories posted or any Flash Flood Warnings. I will make sure to keep you up to date through the entire storm on-air, online, and on social media.

Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss.

For more news and weather you can log onto: www.facebook.com/plushnickweather or www.facebook.com/KAGSTV. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.