tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-89176990347460681762024-03-13T09:35:41.669-07:00KAGS WEATHER INSIDERJared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.comBlogger202125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-14638931886040923762014-08-13T15:05:00.001-07:002014-08-13T15:05:12.122-07:00THOUGHTS ON 100° DAYS IN THE BRAZOS VALLEY.....It's funny when you think about it. We came up with a contest at KAGS-HD where if Easterwood Airport hits 100° for the first time, I will come to your house, and mow your lawn, along with additional various prizes. However, we have passed the month of June, July, and most of August without getting close. The highest temperature reported at Easterwood this year is 97° this year. That's it! Just for your information, the last time Easterwood failed to hit 100° or higher in an entire year, was back in 2004. Yes, it has happened before. We do average 10 days with 100° air, so its bound to happen....we think.<br />
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There have been several locations around Bryan and College Station that have reached 100° a handful of times, but many inhibiting factors have lead to our "cooler" than average Summer thus far. One big element has been timely rain to lower temperatures significantly. In the month of July, over 6 inches of rain fell. For July, that does not happen often.<br />
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Additionally, our wind direction have been primarily from two different origins. Either from the north, or more frequently, the south.<br />
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A north wind will not only suppress the humidity, but also take the temperatures down a notch or two during the Summer. On the flip side, a south wind allows the flood gates to open from the Gulf of Mexico and pumping up our atmosphere with much more moisture. Additionally moisture (or humidity) in the air makes it tough for the air to heat up quickly and intensely. Therefore, the more humidity in the air, the harder it is for extremely high temperatures.<br />
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There are many other atmopsheric dynamic that can help contribute to a 100°, but one of the more reliable ways is a different wind direction. A southwest wind.<br />
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I cannot remember a day this Summer, where a broad southwest wind was pushing into the Brazos Valley. The reason why this is crucial, is because this wind direction leads to drier, and much hotter air. From the southwest, wind slopes down the tall mountains over Mexico and blows into Texas. As air sinks, it expands, dries, and heats quickly. For the entire Brazos Valley to have the best chance for widespread 100°+ air, a southwest wind needs to be in place. However, I do see this happening over the next 7-10 days. Yes, it will still be hot, but not 100°. <br />
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<span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">“Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss.”</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.399999618530273px;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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For more news and weather you can log onto: <a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or <a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a>. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</div>
Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-58198002525002131452014-06-24T12:53:00.005-07:002014-06-24T12:54:12.403-07:00HEAT: Play It Safe<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-6qJoTkum2Rk/U6nXJHVKvsI/AAAAAAAAC04/Zonvgtt2V34/s1600/wx.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-6qJoTkum2Rk/U6nXJHVKvsI/AAAAAAAAC04/Zonvgtt2V34/s1600/wx.jpg" height="213" width="320" /></a></div>
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<span class="irc_ho" dir="ltr" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.2); cursor: pointer; font-family: arial, sans-serif; line-height: 16px; margin-right: -2px; overflow: hidden; padding-right: 2px; text-align: start; text-decoration: none; text-overflow: ellipsis; unicode-bidi: -webkit-isolate;"><span style="background-color: white; color: black; font-size: xx-small;">Picture: <a class="irc_hl irc_hol" data-ved="0CAQQjB0" href="http://inhabitat.com/annual-heat-related-deaths-are-expected-to-rise-257-by-2050-in-the-uk/" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.2); cursor: pointer; font-family: arial, sans-serif; line-height: 16px; text-align: start; text-decoration: none;">inhabitat.com</a></span></span></div>
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It’s that time of the year again when we roll out the
grills, sit by the pool, take extra long vacations, and stand outside in the
heat for extended periods of time. Sounds fun, right? Yes, it does, but if you
don’t play by the rules and keep heat safety a top priority, you could fall
victim to one of the most underrated weather elements that can cause severe
bodily injury.<o:p></o:p></div>
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In fact, heat is the top weather related killer in the
United States. Taking the averages of weather related deaths between 2003-2013
across the county, heat is at the top of the list. On average, there have been
117 heat related deaths on a yearly basis. Second on the list is a tie with
tornadoes and hurricanes at 107, and floods comes in third with 76 deaths per
year. The reason why heat is primary killer is because it affects more
Americans than any other weather phenomenon. <o:p></o:p></div>
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Hot air can do a number on your body and it does not take
much time to be out in the heat to feel its effects. If you are suffering from
heat related illnesses, you will likely experience dizziness, muscle cramps,
weak pulse, overall weakness, nausea, and even fainting. If you, or someone you
know illustrates these symptoms, make sure to move to a cool place, apply a wet
cloth to cool down, sit in front of a fan, and sip on cool water. <o:p></o:p></div>
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Not only can the
actual heat cause problems, but the sun angle is at its peak during this time
of the year. Not only are the daylight hours extended, but the sun’s intensity
is another reason to keep it safe this summer season. This time of the year, it
takes less than 10 minutes of unprotected exposure to cause sunburn. Sunburns
are not fun at all, and if you are severely affected, you might feel a flu-like
fever, nausea, headaches, chills, weakness, and even blisters. Apply SPF 30+
sunscreen all over your body as often as you can, at least every 60 minutes,
wear a hat, lose light colored clothing, and slap on a pair of sun glasses to
prevent as much as the sun’s harmful rays.<o:p></o:p></div>
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Overall, just have fun out there this summer, but make sure
safety is always on your mind. If you take care of these simple things, and
stay hydrated too, you will have an amazing summer season.<o:p></o:p></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">“Take a look
up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss.”</span> <span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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For more news and weather you can log onto: <a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or <a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a>. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</div>
Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-86200028987910846812014-06-17T15:48:00.000-07:002014-06-17T15:48:01.591-07:00Twin Tornadoes, Rare, But Has Happened Before<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
Before going into detail about the potential of how a twin tornado occurred yesterday in Pilger, Nebraska, know that this is something very rare, but has happened before. Additionally, there are many more storm chasers now than ever before and we can capture more information, in vast volumes, plus it spreads all over the internet, as well as media at rapid rates. Furthermore, meteorology is a growing science where we keep learning more over time. We know a lot, but there is much more research ongoing.</div>
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Anyway, below is one of the pictures of the twin tornadoes taken by storm chasing expert, Reed Timmer. </div>
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This picture can say well more than a thousand words. To have two tornadoes that are extremely violet, right next to each other, is very unusual. Several theories do exist, but again, no straight up answer at this time.<br />
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For this type of situation to happen there could have been two different updrafts within one or two separate super cell thunderstorms. On the other hand, for two supercells or tow updrafts to be adjacent to one another is atypical. What tends to happen is one supercell takes over while the second collapses and transfers its energy to the other. In the picture above, it appears that the two updrafts, or supercells balance each other and create an environment where two strong tornadoes can exists side by side. Overtime, the two eventually linked together and created one larger tornado.<br />
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This goes into the next potential theory, a multi-vortex scenario. In most occurrences, there is only one vortex (rapidly rotating spin) per tornado. However, there are some single tornadoes that generate multiple vortexes, but tend to be very hard to see. Here, we might have and extreme case of multiple vortexes.<br />
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These are just a couple of theories, but more research will help the science of meteorology come closer to a real solution.<br />
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This has happened before, such as back in 1965 on Palm Sunday in Elkhart, Indiana. Paul Huffman snapped this picture of twin tornadoes during that outbreak below.<br />
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<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-ejGhYvDFTWg/U6C9IIes9_I/AAAAAAAACzM/xG4gBCktVUc/s1600/WX1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-ejGhYvDFTWg/U6C9IIes9_I/AAAAAAAACzM/xG4gBCktVUc/s1600/WX1.jpg" /></a></div>
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Another such occurrence happened in Hesston, Kansas in 1990. I was not able to find a picture of this event, but has been documented.<br />
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It's always saddening to see how destructive tornadoes can be, and what occurred in the Nation's Heartland last night was devastating. As more research continues on severe weather, forecasting steadily becomes more accurate.<br />
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In the meantime, if there is a Tornado Warning for your area, please make sure to respect Mother Nature's fury and take every precaution possible to protect yourself from the elements.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-52856420598618373172014-06-04T14:49:00.000-07:002014-06-04T14:49:50.408-07:00Minor Activity In The TropicsTypically the beginning of the Hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin is quite slow, but by August and September, things really begin to heat up. Below is a chart laying out the percentages (%) of the amount of storms that typically generate. The greater the percentage, the greater amount of storms in that given month.<br />
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Easy to see that June and July are relatively quite compared to August, September, and even October. This is because the water temperatures reaches its peak and upper level winds favor development and strengthening of tropical systems during this time.<br />
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Also, if you are curious, the list of Tropical Storm/Hurricane names begin with Arthur and end with Wilfred this year.<br />
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Aside from the typical tropical jargon and names, there is a disturbance that bares watching in the southern Gulf of Mexico and Bay of Campeche.<br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-e2QIbT24snk/U4-PeCsmczI/AAAAAAAACyg/UINymUQEPNs/s1600/WX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-e2QIbT24snk/U4-PeCsmczI/AAAAAAAACyg/UINymUQEPNs/s1600/WX.png" height="360" width="640" /></a></div>
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The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is going to monitor this swirl for further development. At this time, there is only a 20% chance that over the next 5 days, this area will turn into an organized tropical system. Its early in the season and the right ingredients are not in place for a major storm to take shape.<br />
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Even the computer models are confused on an exact forecast due to the ragged nature of this system and its disorganization.<br />
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Sure, one model brings this into Texas, but that will likely NOT happen. Nonetheless, I will watch this and other tropical cyclones that develop this season for you.<br />
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In the meantime, we can sit back and relax as our weather should be repetitive with warmth and tranquility.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-81198206017273942832014-06-03T18:51:00.002-07:002014-06-03T19:35:23.989-07:00Huge Severe Weather Mess In Central Plains<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">Here in the Brazos Valley, severe weather season has come and gone without a scratch. This does not completely means that we will not see any severe weather during the summer or early Autumn, but looking at the records and seasonal trends, this part of Texas tends to quiet down. Also, when you </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">encompass all of the events for our region, there have been several episodes of torrential rain, but other than that, nothing to really talk about around the water cooler. </span><span style="font-family: inherit; line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">Now the shift in moment is for the central Plains and the Mid-West. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit; line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">In the upper levels, high pressure is building in and will shut down any chance of rain through the rest of the week and into the weekend.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">This type of pattern mimics one of the "ring of fire" highs that we are </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">familiar</span><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;"> with during the heat of the summer. We call this the "ring of fire" because in the center of the ring, the weather remains tranquil, but around the "ring" is where the action takes place. Energy glides along the </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">periphery of this "ring" and interacts with the difference in temperature that helps to generate thunderstorms, which can become severe.</span><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;"> </span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">In the case of what happened this afternoon and evening, a multitude of severe thunderstorms unleashed their fury on parts of Wyoming, but especially in Nebraska and Iowa. Below is an image of Max Storm, </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">Doppler</span><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;"> Radar illustrating how </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">ubiquitous the severe weather is.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">As you guessed it, there are very nasty storms that created all modes of severe weather from large damaging hail, tornadoes, and extreme </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">straight</span><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;"> line winds.</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">Reports were plenty and </span></span><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">consolidated along a couple of lines where storms gerated and traveled like a train on a train track.</span><br />
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<a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-bCMQZHArKH4/U453mACwnrI/AAAAAAAACxs/Dm-6cHfBmBc/s1600/WX1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-bCMQZHArKH4/U453mACwnrI/AAAAAAAACxs/Dm-6cHfBmBc/s1600/WX1.png" height="360" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">As of 9PM CDT, there have been 11 reports of tornadoes. Know that there can be multiple reports for a single tornado. Its up to the National Weather Service to determine how many tornadoes actually touched down following the event as they survey the damage.</span></span><br />
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<span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">It's not just tornadoes, but incredible reports came out of Nebraska of hail and straight line winds too. In both Minatare and Kennard, Nebraska, softball size hail was reported. In addition, 100mph winds were estimated in Newport, Nebraska.</span><br />
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<span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">There is more ongoing at this time, and flooding will be the main issue across Iowa all night long. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-23036037678992002212014-04-30T14:53:00.002-07:002014-04-30T14:53:37.004-07:00Possible Record Low TonightHigh pressure stretching from western Canada to Texas is anchored in place
allowing for the Brazos Valley to enjoy low humidity and below average
temperatures. In fact, temperatures will be so far below average, that we will
be challenging record lows overnight. Easterwood Airport's record low
temperature for Thursday morning is 47°. We will come close to that mark.
Therefore, jackets needed early Thursday morning.<br />
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By the afternoon a few clouds will move in and decorate the royal blue sky.
Clouds will hang around on Friday too, before moving out for the weekend that is
projected to be breezy and much warmer with temperatures back in the middle to
upper 80s.<br />
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<strong>Tonight: </strong>Clear and chilly. Low: 47°<br />
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<strong>Thursday: </strong>A sunny start with a few afternoon clouds. High:
75°<br />
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<strong>Thursday Night: </strong>Partly cloudy, not as chilly. Low: 53°<br />
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<strong>Friday: </strong>Mostly sunny to partly cloudy, warmer. High: 77°<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-42845391183448030062014-04-29T18:33:00.000-07:002014-04-29T18:33:06.048-07:0060 Years Later - 1954 F-2 College Station Tornado Its honestly pretty tough because the Brazos Valley is on the southern tip of Tornado Alley, but twisters can rip through from time to time. According to tornadohistoryproject.com, since 1953, only 23 tornadoes have either formed or moved across parts of Brazos County.<br />
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The was one in particular that occurred back on April 30, 1954 that tore though College Station just to the east of Texas A&M and moved towards what would eventually be Highway 6.<br />
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-U72RU1YPWsU/U2BQwOLhyiI/AAAAAAAACwI/yzcdd6kJJMU/s1600/Tornado.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-U72RU1YPWsU/U2BQwOLhyiI/AAAAAAAACwI/yzcdd6kJJMU/s1600/Tornado.png" height="312" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: xx-small;">Data: Tornadohistoryproject.com. This is a path of the F-2 tornado that hit College Station on April 30, 1954</span></div>
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Back in 1954, most of these roads were not constructed and a vast amount of the buildings we see today were not even in the works. From the information given, there were no fatalities or injuries with this tornado that was rated F-2 with winds possibly between 113-157mph. However, if you look a the path closely, it would have done significant damage to many shops that currently sit along University Dr, especially the Hilton Hotel. Also, many homes would have suffered significant damage as well if a twister with the same path and strength hit in today's BCS. </div>
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Interesting to look back at history and compare it to the modern day. Luckily, no severe weather is in the forecast over the next 7-10 days. </div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 18.399999618530273px;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.</span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-55384740190130742352014-03-24T14:29:00.003-07:002014-03-24T14:29:39.324-07:00El Nino Could Strike Back Soon<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">When you
look at the past several years, rain has been very hard to come by. In fact, I
have personally been appalled by the lack of precipitation. Not only has this
had an effect on our community here in the Brazos Valley, but throughout the
entire state. Lakes are looking like creators, streams are flowing slowly, and
crops are not as bountiful. However, I do have potentially great news for us in
the long term. <o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">The National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is monitoring the ocean
temperatures around the equator in the Pacific Ocean. Signals suggest that by
the summer, a new El Niño could emerge. El Niño is not a storm by any means,
but rather a warming of the waters in the eastern Pacific around the equator. Despite
this simple sounding phenomenon, it has reaching affects around the entire
globe, including us here in Texas.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Signs of an
El Niño include a rise in pressure over Indonesia and trade winds in the south
Pacific slowing down or moving towards the east. In turn, this allows warmer
water at the surface to flow towards South America. As the water warms, there
will be more moisture and heat energy in the atmosphere to enhance the
formation of rainfall.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">As of the
current forecast, the trade winds are expected to have a very strong component
towards the east, rushing in very warm water. Due to this theory, water
temperatures could rise between 7-10 degrees above average, which would be
compared to one of the strongest El Niño’s on record (1997-1998). If this
actually shapes up, we are in for a great pattern that favors more rain by
autumn.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Just know
that this is not 100% guaranteed, but if this El Niño happens to emerge, it
could be strong and provide a huge benefit to all of us.<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Take a look
up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss.</span> <span style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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For more news and weather you can log onto: <a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or <a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a>. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-21527897098815170882014-03-19T19:36:00.003-07:002014-04-29T18:43:48.432-07:00A Little More Haze In The Sky<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 19.5px;">
You might have seen a slight brown shading to the sky. Your eyes are not playing a trick from you, its actually dust from the storm that blew through west Texas on Tuesday. As the dust approaches the Brazos Valley, it remained suspended in the sky. Most of the dust will stay above the ground, with little, if any at the surface. If you have respiratory problems, make sure to take it easy until Friday morning, when the dust completely clears us.</div>
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On another note, high pressure will move in and keep the tranquil weather in tact for the rest of the work week. By the weekend, more moisture combine with additional energy will help to produce rain showers. At the moment, the timing of any showers should be from Saturday evening until Monday afternoon. The timing can change, and I will keep you updated. Use this as a heads up.</div>
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<strong>Tonight: </strong>A<strong> </strong>mostly clear sky with some haze, cool. Low: 45°</div>
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<strong>Thursday: </strong>Mostly sunny with some haze, pleasant. High: 73°</div>
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<strong>Thursday Night: </strong>A few more clouds in the sky, still a little hazy, not as cool. Low: 54°</div>
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<strong>Friday: </strong>The haze should move out and a mostly cloudy sky developing, breezy too. High: 76° </div>
Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-45246924858900161472014-03-12T16:21:00.001-07:002014-03-12T16:21:17.621-07:00Weather Update 3-12-14<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 19.5px;">
What a wild, windy afternoon. Gusts across the entire Brazos Valley peaked over 40mph at times. As the evening wares on, high pressure will move in and relax the wind. In fact, high pressure will have firm control on Thursday and Friday. Therefore, expect more sunshine, and as the high progresses to the east, a south flow will develop, allowing the temperatures to rebound too.</div>
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Looking ahead, clouds and even rain should return for the weekend. Adjustments in the weekend forecast will be made, and KAGS-HD Weather will keep you informed. Use this information as a heads up at this time.</div>
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<strong>Tonight: </strong>Clear, calmer, and chilly. Low 37°</div>
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<strong>Thursday: </strong>Sunny and pleasant, a south breeze develops. High: 67°</div>
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<strong>Thursday Night: </strong>Clear, a bit breezy, and cool. Low: 45°</div>
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<strong>Friday: </strong>Partly cloudy, milder, and breezy. High: 69°</div>
Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-55203237171489438332014-03-11T13:42:00.003-07:002014-03-11T13:42:48.551-07:00Wind Advisory From 7AM - 7PM WednesdayHold on tight because the wind will be howling tonight and tomorrow. This
evening, the wind will be pointed from the south, keeping that mild to warm
feeling around. However, past midnight, a cold front will move in and change
things up. The front should come though dry, therefore, there is no threat of
precipitation.<br />
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Furthermore, in the wake of this front, a strong high pressure
center will approach the Brazos Valley.<br />
Before the center of the high move in, the wind will be the biggest headline
stealer. Expect the wind to be sustained between 20-30mph, with occasional gusts
over 40mph on Wednesday. Additionally, the wind will be coming from the north,
spilling in colder air. The thermometer will have a tough time reaching 60° on
Wednesday.<br />
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Overall, its going to be much cooler, and very windy. My suggestion
is to secure loose objects around your house or they might blow away. Also, it
would be best to avoid any outdoor fires Wednesday as any fire could spread
quickly with the weather expected.<br />
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High pressure crests over the area Wednesday night, calming the wind and
helping the bring temperatures down into the 30s by Thursday morning.Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-75887194934561167372014-03-10T14:58:00.002-07:002014-03-10T14:58:40.856-07:00Forecast Update 3-10-14<div style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 19.5px;">
Following some fog, mist, and even rain during the weekend, the sun came out to begin the work week. With high pressure overhead, Monday turned out to be a top notch weather day. However, there is an upper level disturbance over northern Mexico that will influence us tonight and early on Tuesday morning.</div>
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Several showers will try to make it into the Brazos Valley late tonight and continue into the early morning hours on Tuesday. At this time, the heaviest rain should hug the Texas coast, while we are clipped with several showers. It is possible that we could hear a rumble of thunder, but all storms that generate will be well below severe limits. </div>
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Into Tuesday afternoon this batch of rain will move out to the east and the sun will begin to shine in limitation for the afternoon. At the same time, the wind will pick up ahead of a cold front that is scheduled to push though around Midnight Tuesday/Wednesday.</div>
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Behind the front, expect the clouds to move out, the wind to remain gusty, and colder air to travel down.</div>
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<strong>Tonight: </strong>Becoming cloudy, several showers late, a rumble of thunder is possible, light fog late. Low: 54°</div>
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<strong>Tuesday: </strong>A few showers in the early morning, then turning mostly cloudy, and breezy. High: 76°</div>
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<strong>Tuesday Night: </strong>Partly cloudy, turning windy overnight. Low: 48°</div>
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<strong>Wednesday: </strong>Sunny, windy, and cooler. High: 63°</div>
Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-70468000534171651712014-02-25T14:12:00.003-08:002014-02-25T14:12:57.607-08:00COLDER AIR ARRIVES, TURNS WINDY, AND RAINY TOO.....As I am writing this weather discussion, colder air is slowly crawling into the Brazos Valley, helping to set the stage for a pretty miserable day on Wednesday. However, on the bright side, we will pick up well needed rain.<br />
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Here is the set up. At the surface, Canadian high pressure will continue to move towards Texas, supplying us with the cold air. Also, while the high moves closer, the wind will pick up tonight and most of Wednesday before calming down Wednesday evening. In the upper levels, energy from the Rockies will slide down, helping to produce more cloud cover and rainfall. Additionally, a healthy supply of moisture off the Pacific Ocean will allow for widespread precipitation, which could be heavy at times. <br />
<br />
Expect rain to pick up in coverage overnight and into Wednesday morning. Rain will last for most of the day on Wednesday along with temperatures that will hover in the middle to lower 40s. Yup, its going to be cold, windy, and soggy. <br />
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-e5AHS3gCfCI/Uw0VS1UZ4vI/AAAAAAAACYg/Wkyp2Sf_c10/s1600/WX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-e5AHS3gCfCI/Uw0VS1UZ4vI/AAAAAAAACYg/Wkyp2Sf_c10/s1600/WX.png" height="300" width="400" /></a></div>
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Overall, about 0.75" to 1.25" of rain will fall for most of the Brazos Valley. There will be a few spots that pick up less, and a few isolated locations that pick up a more than that. Make sure to have your wet weather gear ready.Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-23737632616916997582014-02-24T16:04:00.000-08:002014-02-24T16:04:10.800-08:00Weather Update 2-24-14What a beautiful weekend for all of us! The air was warm, there was sunshine, and a little bit of humidity too. Now as we transition to a new work week, the weather will become more active. This includes, more cloud cover, wind, much colder air, and rainfall too.<br />
<br />
Tonight should remain tranquil with a cloud sky and a few areas of mist and light fog around. By Tuesday afternoon, the cloud cover persists, but several light isolates showers will crop up from time to time. By Tuesday night, the action begins as a cold front approaches.<br />
<br />
Following the passage of the cold front late Tuesday night, much colder air will rush in on a gusty wind from the north. Additionally, energy coming off the Rockies will combine with energy off the Pacific Ocean and combine to develop widespread rain on Wednesday. Not only will there be rain on Wednesday, it will be windy, and temperatures will not even get out of the 40s! Yup, its going to be a tough weather day for all of us. <br />
<br />
I will keep you well informed as new information comes into the weather center and as the weather changes. <br />
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<strong>Tonight: </strong>Cloudy with a few areas of mist and light fog. Low: 61°<br />
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<strong>Tuesday: </strong>Overcast with several isolated light showers, warm. High: 72°<br />
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<strong>Tuesday Night: </strong>Periods of light rain, turning windy, and colder. Low: 45°<br />
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<strong>Wednesday: </strong>Cold, rainy, and windy. High: 48° Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-50564896724817448172013-12-18T15:43:00.000-08:002013-12-18T15:43:08.766-08:00Weekend Storms On The Horizon<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">What a beautiful week so far here in the Brazos Valley. Cool mornings turn into pleasant, sunny afternoons. Also, temperatures have been great. Highs have topped off in the 60s to near 70°. However, changes will begin slowly. Warm air will stick around, but the wind will pick up, also, you will notice more cloud cover Thursday.</span></span><br />
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This is all ahead of a storm that is developing over southern California at this time.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">This storm is tame, but once it crosses the Rockies, not only will this be trouble for weekend travel in Texas, but a large portion of the Plains and the Mid-West. By Friday and Saturday, the center of low pressure will begin to push into New Mexico and eventually Texas. Additionally, several atmospheric ingredients will aid in more rapid intensification.</span></span><br />
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At the surface, a rich pull of moisture off the Gulf of Mexico will help to produce a broad swath of precipitation from Texas all the way to Chicago. Furthermore, a strong Jet Stream aloft will enhance lifting, allowing for heavy pockets of precipitation. Also, the jet stream will increase the risk for strong and potentially severe thunderstorms from central Texas to Tennessee. On the back side of this storm is much colder air and any precipitation that falls will be in the form of snow, sleet and freezing rain. <br />
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Here in the Brazos Valley, any precipitation will be in the liquid form as temperatures should be in the middle 70s. As far as timing, expect several light showers Friday evening along with a gusty south wind blowing in excess of 20mph at times. Saturday morning will be cloudy with an isolated shower. By Saturday afternoon and especially in the evening, thunderstorms will move in from the west and wash us out. Its still yet to be determined if these storms will be severe here, but the threat is possible. Nonetheless, expect a periods of heavy rain, gusty winds, and frequent lightning Saturday night. <br />
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While we experience the tail end of the storms, areas to our north could pick up a copious amount of precipitation.<br />
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The storm moves out Sunday morning, while the wind continues to howl, this time from the northwest. In turn, will make it much colder. <br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"</span></span><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span></div>
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-785471886888289192013-12-04T15:21:00.002-08:002013-12-04T15:21:29.028-08:00ICE....ICE....BABY!!!!<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">I could only recall Vanilla Ice had one big hit, Ice Ice Baby! I admit that I am listening to the top hit while writing this blog that could contain some ice for the Brazos Valley. </span></span><br />
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The cold front that will move in here has already passed parts of the state where the temperatures contrast between deep south Texas and the Panhandle is quite extreme this evening.<br />
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High resolution data shows that the range from high to low across the state is 19° to 90°. Yeah....this is a serious cold front with more Canadian air where that came from. What this map really shows off is not only the impressive shot of arctic air, but how quickly the temperatures will drop once the front actually passes.<br />
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What will be interesting to watch as this whole weather pattern evolves is the interaction of the cold air, and the presence of moisture that will hang on behind the front. Besides mid level rotation which aids the production of a wintry mess for north Texas, the upper levels illustrate added moisture coming off the Pacific Ocean.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">Not only will this flow from the Pacific Ocean help to warm temperatures aloft, it will bring in an extra source of juice for the formation of precipitation. </span></span><br />
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Our real concern will not only pertain to the atmospheric profile, but how the temperatures at the surface respond after the cold air advances. As the atmosphere changes following the passage of the cold front, air above the surface should be warmer than freezing. In turn, precipitation that falls from the base of the clouds will melt into rain. However, if the ground temperatures are at or below freezing, then an icy scenario is in our future.<br />
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Right now, I do not see any freezing precipitating on Thursday, but there could be pockets of freezing drizzle Friday afternoon and Saturday. In terms of how this event will hash out, the Brazos Valley will avoid the worst of the storm.<br />
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A major ice storm is not going to happen here, but a light glaze of ice could form which will cause very ticky travel. Even a little bit of ice can cause HUGE problems. For areas such as Dallas, Fort Worth, Tyler, Fort Smith, Arkansas, a fairly major storm will set up with ice accumulations higher than .25" for many locations. I do not expect that here.<br />
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Milam, Robertson, and Leon counties have the best chance in our viewing area to receive a light coating of freezing rain Friday afternoon and Saturday. Bryan and College Station also have the chance for minor ice accumulations, but this is going to be a forecast to closely monitor.<br />
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Additionally, I would like to add that the soil temperatures are currently in the 50s. In order to see ice accumulate, the road and soil temperatures need to drop to freezing. Therefore, even if the air temperature hits 32° with rain falling, the initial precipitation may stay as liquid until the surfaces drop to or below freezing.<br />
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Whether ice is achieved or not, the weather will be very cold and very windy. Stay warm my friends.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-64355757518149964952013-12-02T15:15:00.001-08:002013-12-02T15:15:46.580-08:00Arctic Blast: Round 2<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">What goes up, must come down! Following a beautiful weekend, the temperatures began to sky rocket into the 70s and 80s across most of Texas to kick start this new work week. </span></span><br />
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For the second day in December, the average temperature reported at Easterwood Airport in College Station is 65°. Therefore, on this Cyber Monday, if you love warm air, today was a huge bargain for this time of year. In fact, this warm air will hang around through the middle of the week, before a major push of Canadian air heads our way once again. Just like early last week, we will have a repeat performance.<br />
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In order to experience a huge shift in our weather, we first need a fresh batch of hard core cold air in Canada and Alaska.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">With a core of sub-zero temperatures, this air is poised to make a move into the United States and eventually in our direction. The air will moderate during it journey down, but the whats left will make us grab our winter coats and turn up the heat!</span></span><br />
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Ahead of the impending cold blast, the National Weather Service has already posted widespread Winter Storm Watches and Winter Storm Warnings for many locations in the northern Rockies and Plains.<br />
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Mostly the higher elevations in the Rockies will accumulate large mounds of snow with some locations receiving nearly two feet! Its white gold for all of the ski resorts, not really gold when it comes to traveling.<br />
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Nonetheless, the cold air should arrive in the Brazos Valley sometime early Thursday afternoon. Ahead of this push of really cold stuff, clouds will increase and periods of rain will overspread the region. Once the cold front hits and moves by Thursday afternoon, temperatures will drop like a rock as a gusty north wind will help shuttle in our new air mass.<br />
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From Friday and into the weekend, expect highs to only reach the 40s with overnight lows dipping into the 30s along side a gusty wind, making it feel even colder. Additionally, clouds and some precipitation will hang back over the cold air, which in turn could cause icy conditions for parts of north Texas around Dallas and Fort Worth. <br />
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I will make sure to keep you posted should any changes arise.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-61126003514653945762013-11-21T15:28:00.001-08:002013-11-21T15:28:31.069-08:00Arctic Chill, Arctic Weather, Let's Bundle Up....We are in a for an interesting ride here in the Brazos Valley. In fact, most of Texas is in for a potpourri of weather, including wintry precipitation. It will first begin with a cold front that will plow away all of this warm air and kick it way out. In its place, a surge of MUCH COLDER air which will move in for the long haul.<br />
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As of Thursday afternoon, the front has already passed through most of Oklahoma, and the Texas panhandle. Notice the contrast in temperatures between the below freezing air in Amarillo with the heat in San Antonio. This cold front will literally flatten our warmth, quickly.<br />
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At the moment, the front should arrive around 3am Friday morning, where the temperatures remain in the 70s, but following the passage of this Blue Norther, we will already cool down into the 40s by 7am Friday. Additionally, there will be several showers and thunderstorms as the front passes. Furthermore, the wind will turn around from the north and gust 30-35mph at times through the day on Friday. Therefore, its going to feel more like the 30s for most of the day when you factor in the wind. <br />
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FYI: This will not be a short lived cold spell, it will remain cold for the weekend and most of next week too.<br />
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Clouds and showers will hang around on Friday and into the weekend as well. Where temperatures are cold enough, pockets of Freezing Rain and sleet, along with several snow showers will develop in Hill Country and west Texas.<br />
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Then another dose of energy will take aim at us by the second half of the weekend.<br />
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An upper level low slowly moving eastbound, will hook up with the cold air in place and help to produce snowfall for mainly areas in the panhandle and west Texas for the first time this season. Snow could pile up over 10 inches in a few isolated areas.<br />
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What we need to keep our eyes on is how cold it will be as this upper level storm moves over the Brazos Valley. By late Monday, this energy will help to spawn a surface storm along the Texas gulf coast.<br />
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Areas of green and blue illustrate where precipitation will be falling. However, with temperatures forecasted to be in the 30s here, it could get a little interesting late Monday and Tuesday morning.<br />
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Right now, the air should be just warm enough that any precipitation that falls will all be in the form of rain. Yet, this can change and we will keep you in the loop. If the air does in fact get colder than the forecast above, a period of sleet or freezing rain could occur, mainly in our northern counties (Milam, Robertson, Leon). <br />
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Overall, make sure to have your winter coat handy, and an umbrella too. Its going to be a cold, cloudy, and dreary next few days.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span><br />
Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-68233975382527214842013-11-18T15:14:00.002-08:002013-11-18T15:14:57.256-08:00Extreme Cold By The Weekend<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">Quite and interesting weekend here across the entire Brazos Valley. We have been so used to the cooler and drier air as of late, that the weather this weekend seemed like a big surprise. According to the climate report from Easterwood Airport in College Station, the official high for Sunday was recorded as 84°, just shy of the daily record of 85° set back in 1921. Besides the heat, it was HUMID....yuk!!! Since, a cold front came by Monday afternoon, which will spill in cooler and drier air. </span></span><br />
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Overall, it looks like this week should be fairly quiet. Clouds will come back towards the end of the week, as well as additional warmth and moisture. Plus, several showers will be around from time to time on Wednesday and Thursday.<br />
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THEN COMES THE BIG SHOW!!!!!!<br />
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A pool of Arctic air, building in the northern reaches of Canada will move down into the United States and unleash its fury.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">By Friday, a strong cold front will move across the state of Texas cropping up rain and a few thunderstorms on the front side, where the back side of the front will have much COLDER AIR.</span></span><br />
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Notice in the following diagram that there is a body of high pressure ("H") over southern Saskatchewan, Canada, with a forecasted pressure near 1053 millibars.<br />
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This is the GFS's (Global Forecast Systems) simulation of the weather for midnight Saturday. When you add in very cold Canadian air and the potential of a very strong high pressure center to deliver this cold air, this tell me a couple of things. <br />
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1) The cold air can move this far south.<br />
2) Yes, the temperatures will moderate, but will still hold its core.<br />
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In other words, this weekends weather will make you shiver. <br />
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Furthermore, look at the temperature anomalies compared to average with this arctic outbreak.<br />
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We are looking at temperatures that will probably be around 10°-13°C (18°-24°F) below the climatological average for this time of the year. Therefore, high temperatures may only approach the middle 40s, with overnight lows in the 30s. Yeah....it cold be that cold around here. But here is the twist.<br />
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Typically in our part of Texas, a cold air mass will swing in for a day or two, then the temperatures climb pretty quickly, but this is not the case for this event coming up. Its seems like the cold air could stick around for a longer period of time. Maybe 4-5 days, if not longer, beginning on Saturday.<br />
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On top of all of this cold news, snow could fly in parts of the panhandle and west Texas as well for the first time this season.<br />
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The forecast can change, but use this information as a heads up that a big change is headed our way this weekend.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-87644601089453346082013-11-15T15:58:00.001-08:002013-11-15T15:58:31.903-08:00Hot Weekend Coming Up!November in Texas is like a seesaw, temperatures go up, and then they go down....then they go up again. This typically happens during the Autumn season as the cold air is building to our north, and the heat from the summer slowly drifts away. However, this past week was a ride.<br />
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We began the week, literally freezing, but now the air has moderated to pleasant levels. Yet, a strong south wind is developing and going to help increase the humidity, and really elevate the temperatures. In fact, we might get close to a record high temperature on Sunday.<br />
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During this time, several areas of disturbed weather will rotate in, generating a few light showers from time to time. Any rain will not washout any plans, but could wet the garden just a bit. Furthermore, this south wind that develops, will have gusts that will be on the order of 25-30mph at times both Saturday and Sunday. Plus, dew point levels will touch 70°....yeah it will be humid too.<br />
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No need to worry, because a cold front will come into the Brazos Valley by Monday, taking temperatures back closer to seasonal averages.<br />
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Note: Long term models are indicating that there could be another blast of very cold air beginning next weekend (November 23-24)<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-8058777364261660502013-11-08T18:56:00.003-08:002013-11-08T18:56:52.456-08:00Great Weekend Ahead......Then A Polar Plunge<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">It was a wonderful way to end the work week, a textbook Autumn day. Cool and crisp air, along with a milky white glaze in the sky, courtesy of high level clouds. These clouds will remain with us for the first half of the weekend, and even though it might look like its going to rain, the atmosphere is fairly dry, that any falling precipitation should dry up before it comes in contact with the ground. </span></span><br />
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Overall, tailgating for Saturday's final home game at Kyle Field should be great. It is upsetting to see the Aggies take Kyle Field for the final time in its current state before construction begins following the match against Mississippi State. However, by 2015, Kyle Field will be filled with even more fans that will make it even louder.<br />
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Clouds will begin to thin out Saturday night and give way to some sunshine for the second half of the weekend and Veterans Day too.<br />
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By the middle of next week, a huge swing in the temperatures are in the offing. <br />
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Very cold air building in Canada is poised to move into our direction. In fact, most areas east of the Rockies will feel some of the coldest air of the season. <br />
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Due to a highly amplified trough in the upper levels, all of this cold air will freely move south. At the moment, a cold front will pass through the Brazos Valley early Tuesday morning, kicking up a strong north wind and taking any mild air away. <br />
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Additionally, as high pressure crests over the southern Plains on Tuesday and Wednesday night, temperatures should fall into the 30s! This means we need to be on garden alert because there could be several areas near freezing temperatures. Our first frost or freeze could be coming soon. Stay tuned, and I will keep you in the loop.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;"></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-10476119240595332102013-11-07T12:33:00.002-08:002013-11-07T13:55:00.984-08:00Super Typhoon Haiyan.....Could Be Strongest Ever!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-jw9P7NUnGfw/Unv1CQfq8XI/AAAAAAAABQc/XfUHXkXO3oE/s1600/WX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a> </div>
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<a href="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-O8LON79nbdA/Unv8cQhBoTI/AAAAAAAABRA/KLMmJ8__Klw/s1600/WX1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-O8LON79nbdA/Unv8cQhBoTI/AAAAAAAABRA/KLMmJ8__Klw/s640/WX1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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You don't have to be a meteorologist to know that the above image illustrates a very strong storm that will cause catastrophic devastation. Super Typhoon Haiyan, shown above could go down as the strongest and most destructive tropical cyclone on record. It's cloud mass covers over 2/3 of the entire country of the Philippines, winds are sustained around 195mph (equivalent to an EF-4 tornado), with gusts of 235mph (equivalent to an EF-5 tornado) at its core. Haiyan's movement is due west at a quick clip which would lead to a small window of time to weaken. Additionally, the latest report noted, based on satellite feeds, that the center of Haiyan had a minimal central pressure of 858mb (<a href="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2013/tdata/wpac/31W.html">http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2013/tdata/wpac/31W.html</a>), which would put this storm as the strongest on record. <br />
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At the moment, Haiyan could weaken before landfall with sustained winds of 150mph, however, this storm is moving so fast, that the communities in the path of Haiyan may still experience its full extreme impact.<br />
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To view Haiyans final visible image in motion click <a href="http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/131107_mtsat_vis_haiyan_eye_mesovorts_anim.gif">here.</a><br />
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Besides Haiyan, the other famous storm to make headlines in the western Pacific was Super Typhoon Tip, back in 1979. <br />
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At it's peak, Tip had a minimal central pressure of 870mb (which is the lowest official reading on record, before Haiyan could move into the top spot), winds sustained at 190mph, with a width of 1,380miles. Eventually, Tip made landfall over the southern regions of Japan.<br />
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Closer the the United States, don't forget about Hurricane Camille in 1969. This storm made landfall along the Gulf coast with sustained winds of 190mph. <br />
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Extreme weather happens all the time, but Haiyan may top the charts as the strongest storm on record.<br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-47953454818655412602013-10-29T19:03:00.001-07:002013-10-29T19:10:22.626-07:00A Haunting Forecast Before Halloween With Buckets of Rain<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">For a state that has been desperate for rainfall, we have seen our fair share over the past 6 weeks. From the official reports at Easterwood Airport in College Station, 5.19" of rain fell in September, where an impressive 7.10" accumulated so far this month, with a whole lot more to come. From the latest forecast, its possible that Easterwood could end the month of October with nearly 10" of total rainfall. Last time 10" of rain was recorded in a month at Easterwood Airport, was in October of 2006, 12.89" accumulated. </span></span><br />
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What we have going on are several meteorological dynamics coming together, namely moisture, and a lifting mechanism to generate all of these potential rain makers. First of all, the atmosphere has been loading up with moisture from a couple of sources over the past couple of days. At the surface, moisture is being drawn from the rich Gulf of Mexico, while the upper levels are being enhanced from Tropical Storm Raymond in the Pacific Ocean. <br />
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When the powerful low over the Rockies glides into the Plains, it will tap into all of this moisture, rapidly strengthen and begin a string of heavy rain and even severe weather. For the Brazos Valley, our main concern will be possible flooding because when it rains, it will come down at a fast clip in a short period of time. Plus, with a fairly saturated ground, any storms that produce strong wind gusts can easily bring down large trees and power lines.<br />
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Below is a timescale of how this whole event will unfold with our computer simulations.<br />
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Your commute on Wednesday morning should be dry. By lunchtime, several showers will pass by from time to time. Rain becomes more widespread with embedded thunderstorms by Wednesday evening. Overnight and into early Thursday morning, a cold front will edge closer bringing the knock out hit with very heavy rain and even the potential for severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts over 60mph at times. <br />
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Wet weather should begin to move out by the early afternoon and trick or treating weather at this time looks fine. If changes do happen with this forecast, I will keep you in the loop. Nonetheless, the entire Brazos Valley will get soaked.<br />
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ECKjF8AducI/UnBklU6frlI/AAAAAAAABJA/iKP8UZVZbis/s1600/WX.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="360" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-ECKjF8AducI/UnBklU6frlI/AAAAAAAABJA/iKP8UZVZbis/s640/WX.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Overall, a general 2"-3" of rain will fall over most of the area with several isolated pockets picking up 4"-5". Due to all of this rain, make sure to stay in the know with the weather if there are any Flood Advisories posted or any Flash Flood Warnings. I will make sure to keep you up to date through the entire storm on-air, online, and on social media. <br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss.</span> </span></div>
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"></span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-55219208628423929862013-10-22T13:08:00.002-07:002013-10-22T13:08:55.260-07:00Rain Keeps On Rolling - Robertson County
<span style="font-family: inherit;">Since the holidays are right around the corner, we need to
make sure that the weather compliments the time of year so we can feel a bit
more festive. Recently, we have been in a pattern that favors crisp, cool
mornings, with brilliant afternoons. Plus, at times strong cold fronts helped
to generate extreme rain storms that have washed away a significant portion of
our drought. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">It was not so long ago, where the entire county was placed
back under an Extreme Drought. In fact from the September 3, 2013 report from
the U.S. Drought Monitor, Robertson, Leon, Brazos, Madison, Burleson, and even
Washington counties were all considered to be in an Extreme Drought, which is
the second highest stage of drought. Since, the latest report from October 15,
2013 issued placed all of Robertson County under a Moderate Drought, the first
stage of drought. In just a few weeks, major improvements took place.</span></div>
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<a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-JOlOi6XmxFU/UmbbLbDyDmI/AAAAAAAABHM/JrAh20YOV0o/s1600/DM+9-3-13.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="494" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-JOlOi6XmxFU/UmbbLbDyDmI/AAAAAAAABHM/JrAh20YOV0o/s640/DM+9-3-13.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Take this into consideration, through the entire month of
September, Hearne Municipal Airport officially recorded, 6.89” of rain. In
addition, through this point in October, another 4.42” of rain accumulated.
That is a combine total of 11.31”. Nearly one foot of rain in a short period of
time! If we keep this trend rolling, we will be in good shape by then end of
the year. </span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 10pt;">
<span style="font-family: inherit;">In fact, NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration) released their seasonal drought outlook that extends into the
end of January, 2014. Due to the influx of cold fronts, and addition of
moisture from both the Gulf of Mexico and Pacific Ocean, rains will continue to
occur and the latest trends indicate a potential “removal” of the current drought.
Again, this is the long term thinking and do not dictate our day to day weather,
but yet trends can be our friends.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;">Take a look
up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss.</span> </span></div>
<span style="font-family: inherit;">For more news and weather you can log onto: </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/plushnickweather"><span style="font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/plushnickweather</span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="color: #ffd966;"> </span>or </span><a href="http://www.facebook.com/KAGSTV"><span style="color: #0b5394;"><span style="color: #f1c232; font-family: inherit;">www.facebook.com/KAGSTV</span></span></a><span style="font-family: inherit;">. You can also check out our twitter feeds: @KAGSweather and @KAGSnews. Furthermore, you can download our new weather app. Search: KAGS Weather, in the Apple App Store or Google Play for Android.<o:p></o:p></span><span style="font-family: Calibri;"> </span>Jared Plushnickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04935066659345402335noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8917699034746068176.post-24519059076313252082013-10-21T15:39:00.002-07:002013-10-21T15:39:37.189-07:00Slow and Steady Wins The RaceOver the past week to 10 days, we have had a major shift in our weather pattern. From what I can foresee in the future, our days in the 90s and even mid 80s look like they are done for now. A persistent north the south wind pierced some of the coldest air of the season so far and has kept a lid on the temperatures too. Each afternoon has been tranquil with very low humidity levels, lots of sunshine, and very nice temperatures. The big story here has also been the shocking morning lows. <br />
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Early Sunday morning was a tough one when lows dropped into the 40s. Hearne actually reported an official morning low of 40° on the dot. Due to this huge shift, we had to dig deep in the back of the closet and not only take out our recreational jackets, but wool coats too. Well, maybe the wool coats were a bit too heavy, but adds to the description.<br />
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Our main driver has been a trough in the upper levels of the atmosphere allowing this colder air to unleash though out the entire state of Texas.<br />
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Over the course of the next week and into the weekend, we will see this trough slowly lift to the north east as a strong ridge begins to develop to our west.<br />
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This will be a slow movement in the overall upper level pattern, but what you really need to know is that this tranquil pattern will stick around for a while. Also, the cool mornings and mild, sunny afternoons are here to stay right into the weekend. Overall, this will be exceptional outdoor weather.<br />
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On one more note, the tropics are still alive.....<br />
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Tropical Storm Lorenzo formed earlier today, and will move to the central Atlantic Ocean, well away from any land.<br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">"Take a look up once in a while; you never know what you’ll miss."</span> </span></div>
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